Wednesday, 27 August 2014
Saturday, 23 August 2014
Saudi crude production to remain high in 2014-2015
Saudi crude production, according to a recent report, will remain high in 2014
as well as 2015.
This report is based on OPEC outages,
geopolitical crisis (Libya, Ukraine and Iraq), rising domestic use from
the power and transport sectors, growing demand from the refining sector as
well as the improving global economy.
The report suggested that the outlook
for gas looks bleak, in spite of efforts and plans to tap unconventional
resources. The increasing consumption and tight supply may force Saudi to
consider imports.
Saudi oil reserves are expected to
increase as much as 273 billion bbls by 2017, but may decline to 265 billion by
the end of 2023.
In 2013, Saudi had planned to add 160 billion
bbls in additional reserves in the coming years.
The Kingdom has succeeded in
maintaining high oil production levels and exports in the first half of 2014.
Experts suggested that crude oil and
lease condensates production will stay at current levels throughout the current
year.
2014 will see production of nearly
9.78 billion bpd, an increase of 1 per cent from 2013 production levels, but
lower than output in 2012.
2015 will likely see a decline in oil
production, at 9.8 million bpd.
Tuesday, 19 August 2014
Europe’s economy in a fragile state
The fragile economy of Europe
is likely to be affected by the never ending conflicts in Ukraine and
Iraq. While, the economies of Britain and the US grow strongly, output in the
euro bloc has come to a standstill. Germany is losing its hold and Italy is
plagued by recession.
The global markets have
been affected by the sanctions fight between Russia and the West as well as the
US air strikes to stop Islamist militants in Iraq. The sanctions war between
Moscow and the European Union and the growing concern over Russia’s invasion of
eastern Ukraine have slowed down the economic growth.
Moscow supplies nearly a
third of the European Union’s gas needs, Europe has strong trade ties with
Russia. Thus, the increasing political conflicts in Ukraine and Iraq could have
a major impact on the already weak economy of Europe.
Europe’s sluggish economy
may help the US come to the forefront. Investors will test the strength of US
rebound, while others are in search of reassurance that the recovery will stick
even when central banks make borrowing expensive.
In Britain, unemployment
rates may decline but earnings are expected to be lower than the previous year. The situation is similar in the
United States. The cost of living is much higher than wage growth.Thus, to
trust the recovery of the economies of the US and UK, wages need to rise in
line with credit.
China’s economy has
witnessed improved growth in the second quarter as the government has taken
steps to improve construction of railways and public housing. However, the
declining property prices and the high local government debts are slowing down
the economy. The government will have to bring in deeper reforms to help push
the economy forward.
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Monday, 11 August 2014
Iranian government announces new economic policy package
The
Iranian government recently announced its new economic policy package to
help the country emerge from stagflation. This policy is focused on expanding domestic
demand, resolving financial shortages and obstacles faced by the country
as a result of the western sanctions.
The
government is also looking to improve Iran's economic efficiency, especially
considering the access to limited resources.
The
government plans to boost the economy through a number of financial and foreign
exchange policies, and at the same time improved ease of doing business will
also help develop the economy.
The
new economic policy will help stimulate economic growth through channeling
economic resources towards the most efficient economic sectors in order to
boost exports and reduce dependence on oil revenues. It focuses on four main
areas-
•
Macroeconomic policies
•
Policies on ease of doing business
•
Financial policies
•
Economic stimulants
The
government has been working toward reducing the rising inflation through
monetary regulation and macroeconomic stability. The new policy has helped the
government reduce inflation over the past 12 months from 37.5% to 27.7%.
The
dual currency exchange system has impacted the economy, which the government
hopes to resolve by stabilizing the currency exchange regime and bring down
costs in the manufacturing sector.
The
government hopes that stable currency and predictable inflation could lay the
foundation for macroeconomic stability.
The
new economic policy will focus on eliminating dual currency exchange regime,
lowering currency exchange regulations and improve the flow of foreign
investment.
Financial
restrictions by the banks in their lending to the manufacturing sector has also
affected growth, primarily becuase of the increasing government debt.
The
repayment of debt could help boost credit expansion and domestic production.
The
government is planning to improve ease of doing business through less
intervention in the market in terms of pricing goods and services. SMEs have
had restricted access to financial resources and bank credits. Thus the banking
and credit policy included in the new policy will help regulate the banking
sector.
Non-oil
exports will help improve domestic demand and reduce dependence on oil revenues
and diversify the country's financial resources.
The
oil, gas and petrochemical sectors hold a crucial position in the Iranian
economy. Backward and forward linkages with several sectors across the economy could
help boost production and growth.
This
new policy will put emphasis on boosting energy production and consumption
efficiency. The Iranian government has adopted the following policies-
•
Investment in roads and public transport, introduction of 17,000 buses and
37,000 taxis across the country
•
Improving the efficiency of the national railways
•
Increasing the country’s gas exports
•
Producing 700,000 barrels of crude oil per day from West Karoun oilfield
•
Boosting petrochemical exports from $9.9 billion currently to $12.2 billion in
2014-15
Wednesday, 6 August 2014
Global alcoholic raw material market is expected to rise in future
The global alcoholic raw material industries in geographical
markets is more or less divided in North America, Europe, Asia and other
markets where European region is noted as the largest share of alcohol
consumption with an overall sales of 30% revenue that is followed by the North
American market. According to the researched report, over a period the constituents
market of alcohol globally is projected to experience a steady growth.
Driven by a combination of new trends through changing demandpatterns and emerging economies, the growth of global alcohol raw material
market such as colours, flavour and other raw materials are expected to reach
USD 1.18 billion by the 2019 which is noted to be up from 989.2 million in
2013.
According to the recent reports done by Frost & Sullivan, due to
rising demand for yeast and enzymes, strong growth has been projected in the
other ingredients sector of alcohol, however flavor is noted as the major sector
of the alcohol raw material market. Geographically in developing regions such
as Asia-Pacific focus is projected to boost, as in this region the consumer spending on
alcohol is mounting high.
Furthermore, the main components of most alcoholic beverages are Ethanol
and water, where Ethanol is the most important alcohol fuel that can be formed
by converting the starch substance of biomass feedstock into alcohol.
As per analysts, development of new product is likely to gain swiftness
in the ingredients legroom as in the alcohol beverage industry innovation is
noted as a key success factor, moreover with consumers embracing legitimacy and
sticking to products they know best the customer loyalty and brand image will
also coerce growth.
Moreover, as smaller and regional industries have substantial knowledge
of the local market, companies with a global presence are likely to firm up
with them as it will help them to modify alcoholic beverage production to go
well with varying regional and local tastes. Furthermore in next few years, the
global alcoholic raw material market will uphold a constant growth along with
greater investment potential.
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